PISA Score Variance in Explaining the Average Score in Countries and their Economic Development
Author(s):
Jaan Mikk (presenting / submitting)
Conference:
ECER 2013
Format:
Paper

Session Information

09 SES 08 A, Findings from International Comparative Achievement Studies and their National Extensions: Issues in Equity and Inequality

Paper Session

Time:
2013-09-12
09:00-10:30
Room:
D-308
Chair:
Jana Strakova

Contribution

Richard Wilkinson and Kate Pickett (2010) have published a book in which they claim that in more equal societies people on average have better health, higher education, higher social mobility and there is less stress, drug consumption and violence. The authors are convinced that economic inequality affects peoples’ intellectual abilities (Wilkinson and Pickett, 2007). Richard Lynn and Tatu Vanhanen (2006) have shown the same relationship based on a sample of 146 countries. The GINI index of inequality of income had a correlation of -0.34 with literacy in the sample countries, a correlation of -0.42 with gross national income, a correlation of -0.45 with life expectancy, etc. Big differences in income reduce human development, and therefore, people seek ways to reduce inequality (Asghar, Awan and Rehman, 2011).

 

Economics and education are tightly related to each other. For example, Lynn et al. (2007, 867) have found a correlation of 0.66 between TIMSS and PISA test results in 67 countries and the logarithm for gross domestic product (GDP). Due to the tight relationship between education and economics, it can be assumed that large differences in education reduce average achievement in countries. This assumption is supported by the overall desire to maximise equity in education, for example, through the equal distribution of resources (Gamboa and Waltenberg, 2012), raising the average level of education (Keller, 2010), etc.   

 

Studies about the role of variance in achievement have primarily been conducted within countries, and have shown contradictory results at class level. Some studies have shown the advantage of grouping students into homogeneous groups; other studies have not found the same effect (Scharenberg, 2012).

 

The aim of the research below is to study the relationship between the variance of PISA results on the one hand and PISA scores and economic development of countries on the other. The analysis will be conducted on the basis of student and school level data. The hypothesis is that large differences between students and schools are related to lower PISA scores and lower GDP.

Method

The data for the analysis will be taken from the PISA 2009, 2006 and 2003 databases (OECD, 2013) and from the World Bank database (World Bank, 2013). PISA surveys measure 15-year-old students’ knowledge and skills in reading, mathematics and science. Up to 65 countries have participated in the surveys with large, representative samples of students from every country. The analysis will use the total variance in countries and between school variance as independent variables. The dependent variables will be the PISA scores in the countries and the indices of economic development. It is interesting to study different PISA levels of achievement separately. The GINI index will be involved in the analysis, while inequalities in education are seen to be a cause of income inequality. Correlation analysis, regression analysis and structural equation modelling will be used in the analysis of the data.

Expected Outcomes

Preliminary analysis of PISA 2009 data has not confirmed one of hypotheses. Large differences in student PISA scores were expected to reduce the average PISA score in the country; however, the correlation between the PISA score in countries and the standard deviation of the scores in the countries was statistically non-significant (r = -0.13). The hypothesis was supported based on school-level data. PISA 2009 average score and the between school variance in the countries had a correlation of -0.30 and was statistically significant. Between school variance and the GINI index of inequality of income had a correlation of -0.29. Both, the high between school variance and high GINI index conduce a lower PISA score; the correlation between the GINI index and the PISA 2009 score was -0.48. Another unexpected result was the non-significant correlation of between school variance with Gross Domestic Product. The high between school variance is related to lower PISA scores and lower PISA scores to lower GDP, but the correlation between the variance in school results and GDP was 0.09. Further analysis is aimed at clarifying the relationships on broader samples of data using advanced methods. Acknowledgement: the research was supported by EU ESF programme EDUKO No 1.2.0302.09-004.

References

Asghar. N., Awan, A., Rehman, H. (2011). Exploring the Linkages Among Economic Growth, Openness, Income Inequality, Education and Health in Pakistan. Canadian Social Science, 7(6), 82-88. Gamboa, L., F., Waltenberg, F., D., (2012). Inequality of opportunity for educational achievement in Latin America: Evidence from PISA 2006–2009. Economics of Education Review, 31, 694– 708. Keller, K. R. I. (2010). How can education policy improve income distribution? An empirical analysis of education stages and measures on income inequality. Journal of Developing Areas, 43(2), 51-77. Lynn, R., Meisenberg, G., Mikk, J., Williams, A. (2007). National IQs predict differences in scholastic achievement in 67 countries. Journal of Biosocial Science, 39, 861–874. Lynn R., Vanhanen T. IQ and global inequality. Augusta: Washington Summit Publishers. OECD (2013). OECD Programme for International Student Assessment. http://www.oecd.org/pisa/pisaproducts/ Scharenberg, K. (2012). Do secondary students learn more in homogeneous or heterogeneous classes? The importance of classroom composition for the development of reading achievement in secondary school. Online Educational Research Journal, 3(12), 1 – 11. Wilkinson R. G., Pickett K. E. (2010). The spirit level: why greater equality makes societies stronger. New York, etc.: Bloomsbury. Wilkinson R. G., Pickett K. E. (2007). Economic development and inequality affect IQ. A response to Kanazawa. British Journal of Health Psychology, 12, 161–166. World Bank (2013). Independent evaluation Group. http://ieg.worldbankgroup.org/content/ieg/en/home.html

Author Information

Jaan Mikk (presenting / submitting)
University of Tartu
Department of Education
Tartu

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