Student Performance on PISA 2003-2012 in Mathematics at Different Performance Levels in the Nordic Countries
Author(s):
Inga Laukaityte (presenting / submitting) Ewa Rolfsman
Conference:
ECER 2016
Format:
Paper

Session Information

09 SES 04 B, Developments in Education Systems – Trend Perspectives

Paper Session

Time:
2016-08-24
09:00-10:30
Room:
NM-F103a
Chair:
Jan Van Damme

Contribution

Declining achievement levels among students in Sweden in several core subjects has led to a debate concerning strategies for improving student achievement. A significant amount of research has been conducted in Sweden regarding students' performance, and these studies have looked at factors that influence students' success at different levels of the educational system, also from different perspectives. The link between students’ socioeconomic backgrounds and academic achievement is well established (see e.g., Swedish National Agency for Education 2009). However, OECD (2013) emphasize that education can make a difference based on observations that there are countries that manage to narrow the gap between advantaged and disadvantaged students while simultaneously improving overall performance. Unfortunately Sweden is not among these countries. Instead, Sweden is one of the countries that exhibit losses over the years, both in performance and in equity level. Results from the PISA (Programme for International Student Assessment) 2012 assessment, show that Swedish students performed below the OECD mean in all three subjects (OECD 2013). The overall performance of other Scandinavian countries like Denmark and Norway is also below the international average achievement. However, Finland, contrary to the other Nordic countries, is among the top performing countries.

Results also revealed that there are significant differences between schools with reference to students’ performance. The school segregation, previously considered as keen to counter, rather have become increasingly prominent in Sweden in recent years (Swedish National Agency for Education 2012, OECD 2013). Davidsson et al. (2013) have analyzed performance in PISA science in several European countries and have concluded that countries with descending results also have increasing between-school variance, while countries with improving students’ performance have decreasing between-school variance. In this light, it is important also to explore factors of importance for students’ performance in other subjects and among different group of students. The aim of this study is to identify factors associated with students’ performance in PISA in mathematics at different performance levels in the Nordic countries.

Method

Data. In this study we explore PISA 2003 – 2012 Mathematics test results. Every testing year the area of focus varies. Mathematics as main tested area was in 2003 and 2012. Thus, we will concentrate more on these years, having 2006 and 2009 only for the comparison purpose. Four Nordic countries are chosen in this study: Sweden, Denmark, Finland and Norway. Statistical analysis. Statistical analysis consists of two parts. In the first part, we study how the average achievement for mathematics and between-school variance change from 2003 till 2012 in all four countries, and examine whether exists any clear relationship between the achievement and the variance. In the second part, analysis continues by dividing schools into low-, medium- and high-performing within each studied country based on some previous research (Rolfsman, Wiberg & Laukaityte 2013, Neuschmidt, Henke, Rutkowski & Rutkowski 2003). Multilevel models are used to identify school background factors associated with the students' performance in the three school effectiveness groups in each Nordic country. The multilevel modeling framework is used as described in e.g. Gelman & Hill (2006). Multilevel models are examined using Mplus7 software.

Expected Outcomes

Preliminary results show, that there are differences in the trend of the average mathematics achievement between low-performing and high-performing students with different tendencies among the countries. In contrast to previous conducted studies on science, we found no evidence about the existence of the relationship between the average students' performance in mathematics and the between-school variance. Nevertheless, the multilevel modeling identify school-level factors associated with students' performance, which differ between the different performance levels and among the Nordic countries.

References

Davidsson, E., Karlsson, K.G. & Oskarsson, M. (2013). Trender och likvärdighet. Svenska elevers resultat på PISA naturvetenskap i en internationell jämförelse. [Trends and equity. Swedish students’ performance in PISA science in an international comparison]. Utbildning & Demokrati 2013, 22(3), p. 37-52. Gelman, A., Hill, J. (2006). Data analysis using regression and multilevel/hierarchical models. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press. MPLUS (Version 7) [computer software]. Los Angeles, CA: Muthén & Muthén. Neuschmidt, O., Henke, J., Rutkowski, L., & Rutkowski, D. (2003). Effective schools in Arab educational systems: An analysis of TIMSS 2003. IRC 2008 – TIMSS–Mathematics. International Association for the Evaluation of Educational Achievement. Rolfsman, E., Wiberg, M. & Laukaityte, I. (2013). School effectiveness in the Nordic countries in relation to PISA and TIMSS. Paper presented at IEA International research conference, Singapore, June 26-28, 2013. OECD (2013). Are countries mowing towards more equitable education systems? PISA in Focus, 2013/02 (February). Swedish National Agency for Education (2009): Vad påverkar resultaten i svensk grundskola. Kunskapsöversikt om betydelsen av olika faktorer [What influences the results in Swedish compulsory school? An overview of the importance of different factors, in Swedish]. Stockholm: Skolverket. Stockholm: Skolverket Swedish National Agency for Education (2012): Likvärdig utbildning i svensk grundskola? En kvantitativ analys av likvärdighet över tid [Equity in Swedish comprehensive school? A quantitative analysis over time] (rapport 374): Stockholm: Skolverket.

Author Information

Inga Laukaityte (presenting / submitting)
Umeå University
Statistics, USBE
Umeå
umeå university
Umeå

Update Modus of this Database

The current conference programme can be browsed in the conference management system (conftool) and, closer to the conference, in the conference app.
This database will be updated with the conference data after ECER. 

Search the ECER Programme

  • Search for keywords and phrases in "Text Search"
  • Restrict in which part of the abstracts to search in "Where to search"
  • Search for authors and in the respective field.
  • For planning your conference attendance, please use the conference app, which will be issued some weeks before the conference and the conference agenda provided in conftool.
  • If you are a session chair, best look up your chairing duties in the conference system (Conftool) or the app.