Applying Event History Analysis to Investigate the Impacts of Developmental Education on Emerging Adults' Degree Completion
Author(s):
Shu-Chen Chiang (presenting / submitting) Josh Hawley
Conference:
ECER 2013
Format:
Paper

Session Information

ERG SES D 07, Adults' Education

Paper Session

Time:
2013-09-09
13:30-15:00
Room:
A-201
Chair:
Hasan Simsek

Contribution

Enhancing college completion rates has become an increasingly important policy intervention in the U.S. In fact, college degrees or certificates have become the prerequisite to hold a sustainable job in today’s labor market (Perdue, 2008). States strive to graduate more college students particularly among the adults aged above sixteen since nearly half of them have a high school diploma or less (Jacobs & Tolbert-Bynum, 2009). Those adults are considered a pool of potential enrollees for college.

With an open access policy, community colleges function as an entry point to enroll most adult undergraduates to achieve the spirit of equality. Yet community colleges fail to fulfill its mission since college completion rates remained stubbornly low in decades even with an over five-time increase in access to community colleges (Rosenbaum, Deil-amen, & Person, 2006). As a result, the issue of degree completion for adult graduates in community college deserves more attention.    

The component of college students is considered a complex group, which makes it difficult to have a clear division either by age or a single feature. This present paper adopted the emerging adulthood theory as the focus of college undergraduates. Specifically, the theory of emerging adulthood proposed by Arnett (2000) defines youths in age 18 to 29. In essence, the emerging adulthood theory is distinguished itself from the general developmental or adult learning theories like Maslow’s Hierarchy of needs or Erikson’s crisis of identify since no specific age range is identified. 

Demographic changes such as the extension of schooling and the median age of marriage facilitate this formation of emerging adulthood in many regions of the world (Arnett, 2000). Realizing this, it is not surprising to see a trend of prolonged persistence in college as reported in Horn & Berger (2004). Apparently, a delayed transition to adult roles may cause individuals to enroll in college longer gradually. Emerging adults represent up to 70% of entrants in colleges (NCES, 2009). As a majority of the college group, the applying of emerging adulthood theory functions not only an instrumental perspective but also a means of reflecting needy strategies for the priority of today’s college students.              

The provision of developmental education is to enhance academic success for students; yet evidence from both state and national data contradicts the promise. Specifically, every four in ten students at community college starting in developmental education cannot complete; furthermore, the ratio of graduation for this group is fewer than one in ten within three years (Complete College America, 2012). As such, studies fail to conclude if there is positive effects of participating in developmental education, given the mixed or indifferent results derived from past research (Bailey, Jeong, & Cho, 2008; Melguizo, Bos, Prather, & Melguizo, 2011). In sum, this paper aims to investigate the impact of developmental education on degree completion, from a time perspective in particular.    

Method

The data sources are commonly known as the Higher Education Information (HEI) System and are managed by the Ohio Board of Regents. Instead of the overall 23 schools in Ohio, the sample was constricted to 10 institutions that placement test scores are available. To construct event history modeling, participants in the ten schools were limited to those who attained an Associates or higher degree by 2009 as event occurrences and those who still enrolled with more than 30 credits by 2009 as right censored cases . Event history analysis (EHAs), with the ability to deal with the momentum in time, fits well with this present study. Different from methods of dealing the change with two fixed time points, EHA can easily deal with the changing effects over time, or time-varying covariates that are rarely modeled conventionally (DesJardins, 2003). In light of this, the employment of EHA is expected to bring insight into the degree completion issue.

Expected Outcomes

As indicated from the preliminary results, which replicates findings of previous studies, confirming early interventions like the first year experience in college are valuable to enhance degree completion rates (Calcagno, Crosta, Bailey, & Jenkins, 2007; Hawley & Chiang, 2011). Moreover, this present study extends the necessity of early intervention to Year 3, suggesting continuous interventions are the key to graduate more emerging adult undergrads. Namely, keeping students enrolling till Year 3 will greatly push up their likelihood of achieving an Associates or higher degree, everything else held constant. The third year is a threshold year for students who are aged from 18 to 29 to attain a degree whether they participated developmental education. In light of this, conventional programs like first-year experiences should be tailored to enhance college degree rates given the importance of continuous enrollment by the third year. Meanwhile, to combat the disadvantage of developmental education, schools have to learn this group of emerging adults to further target their needs. Accordingly, the design and implementation of programs should target on different group of ages separately, instead of one-size-fit-all strategies.

References

Arnett, J. J. (2000). Emerging Adulthood. American Psychologist, 55(5), 12. Bailey, T., Jeong, D. W., & Cho, S.-W. (2008). Referral, enrollment, and completion in developmental education sequences in community colleges (pp. 37): Lumina Foundation for Education. Calcagno, J. C., Crosta, P., Bailey, T., & Jenkins, D. (2007). Stepping Stones to a Degree: The Impact of Enrollment Pathways and Milestones on Community College Student Outcomes. Research in Higher Education, 48(7), 27. DesJardins, S. L. (2003). Event history methods: Conceptual issues and an application to student departure from college in Higher Education: Handbook of Theory and Research (Vol. 18, pp. 51). Horn, L., & Berger, R. (2004). College Persistence on the Rise? . Washington D.C.: National Center for Education Statistics Melguizo, T., Bos, J., Prather, G., & Melguizo, T. (2011). Is developmental education helping community college students persist? A critical review of the literature American Behavioral Scientist, 55(2), 12. Perdue, D. A. (2008). Reach Higher, AMERICA:Overcome Crisis in the U.S. Workforce (pp. 61): National Commission on Adult Literacy. Rosenbaum, J. E., Deil-amen, P., & Person, A. E. (2006). After admission: From college access to college success. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.

Author Information

Shu-Chen Chiang (presenting / submitting)
The Center for Educational Research and Evaluation at National Taiwan Normal University, Taiwan, Republic of China
The Ohio State University

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